A Greek Tragedy With No Written Final Act

Following Greece’s failure to repay its loan to the International Monetary Fund, it is easy to claim that the Greeks should simply pay back borrowed money. But there is never a clear answer when asking who should be responsible for a nation’s unmanageable debt, and the question is far more complex when it involves a member of the eurozone. Greece lacks its own currency to devalue to gain economic relief, and the nation’s debt problem cannot be solved by issuing more debt with conditions that kill economic growth. Arguably there has never been a bailout designed to bail out the Greeks. The aid issued to date has been more about buying time to play “musical bondholders.”

When it comes to sovereign debt, few countries ever pay back principal in the international financial system today. Yet if the Greeks manage to set a precedent that other troubled E.U. countries try to follow, then the fallout could sink the euro and send the global economy into turmoil. Nevertheless, the risks to the global financial sector have been reduced following the bailout deal with the European Union. Investors need to understand that nobody knows what is going to happen, and yet market buying opportunities could arise. Ultimately, when thinking of Greece, it helps to take note of the fact that spending money you don’t have eventually comes back to haunt you.